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2024-12-14 03:56:44

European Central Bank: It is estimated that the GDP growth rate will be 0.7% in 2024, 1.1% in 2025, 1.4% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027. (It is expected to be 0.8%, 1.3% and 1.5% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 2.9% in 2024, 2.3% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026. (It is expected to be 2.8%, 2.3% and 2.0% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 1.9% in 2027.The survey shows that the European Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates for the fourth time this year to provide support for the economy, and the European Central Bank is bound to cut interest rates for the fourth time this year, loosening the troubled euro zone economy with the inflation rate approaching 2%. According to the survey, all the respondents except one analyst predicted that the European Central Bank would cut the deposit interest rate by 25 basis points to 3% again on Thursday. Only JPMorgan Chase is expected to cut interest rates by more than 50 basis points, believing that the recent data show that economic growth and inflation are weakening.There are 695 listed companies in Jiangsu Province. According to the latest statistics of Jiangsu Listed Companies Association, there were 695 listed companies in Jiangsu Province by the end of November, including 15 new companies this year. Among the 695 companies, there are 216 main boards of Shanghai Stock Exchange, 110 in science and technology innovation board, 126 main boards of Shenzhen Stock Exchange (including one pure B-share), 196 Growth Enterprise Market and 47 North Stock Exchange. By geographical distribution, the total number of listed companies in Suzhou is far ahead in the province, reaching 219, 124 in Nanjing, 123 in Wuxi and 72 in Changzhou. In terms of A-shares, as of the end of November, there were 694 A-share listed companies in Jiangsu Province with a total market value of 6,745.231 billion yuan, accounting for 12.92% and 7.80% of the corresponding total of A-share listed companies respectively.


Indian government sources: negotiations on a free trade agreement between India and Britain will begin at the end of January next year.Reuters survey: Most economists believe that the tariff proposed by US President-elect Trump has little impact on the British economy; It is estimated that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025, and may cut interest rates by 25 basis points every quarter; A survey of 71 interviewed economists shows that the Bank of England's interest rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.75% on December 19th.Western Securities and others set up a parent fund management partnership with a capital contribution of 2 billion yuan. According to Tianyancha APP, recently, Xiaogan Xizheng Gaochuang Industrial Investment Parent Fund Management Partnership (Limited Partnership) was established with a capital contribution of 2 billion yuan. Its business scope includes: private equity investment fund management, venture capital fund management services, etc. Tianyancha's equity penetration shows that the enterprise is jointly held by Western Advantage Capital Investment Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Western Securities, and Xiaogan Gaochuang Investment Co., Ltd.


ECB: The appropriate monetary policy stance will be determined by data dependence and successive meetings. Inflation prospect, core inflation and its transmission will determine the interest rate path.Traders' interest rate expectations for the European Central Bank remain stable: it is expected to cut interest rates by 127 basis points in 2025.European Central Bank: It is estimated that the GDP growth rate will be 0.7% in 2024, 1.1% in 2025, 1.4% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027. (It is expected to be 0.8%, 1.3% and 1.5% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 2.9% in 2024, 2.3% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026. (It is expected to be 2.8%, 2.3% and 2.0% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 1.9% in 2027.

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